Oct. 26th, 2023

redfiona99: (Default)
I know I've said a lot about England being inexplicable this World Cup, and wasn't that performance in the semifinal the most inexplicable of the lot. Who was expecting such a strong performance against South Africa?

Who had point-scoring moments for England? )

Which once again highlights England's reliance on their kickers.

When do England score? )

The pattern of not scoring as many in the first 20 minutes remains.

England point-scoring moments by time and player:

England-point-scoring-moments-by-time-and-player-after-6

The dendrogram continues to show that there was no continuity of players who played together when England scored )

Which is also seen in the matrix and network diagram )

The network diagram makes it particularly clear, because there's two separate lumps, with a couple of players linking them.

If we look at point-concessions instead, England concede in the 20-30th minute of each half )

I think Borthwick played Steward because he trusts him more than Smith defensively, which is supported by South Africa having fewer point-scoring moments than Fiji did. Bar chart under the cut )

I know there's a suggestion that Borthwick maybe should have changed to a more attacking formation 5 minutes earlier, but England wouldn't have been able to do that if they hadn't been building on a solid defence.

While Elliot Daly is still the player present for the most point scoring moments for England:Another bar chart )

Itoje, Earl and Marchant were present for the most concessions.

Another one )

Concession dendrogram )

The concession matrix looks more like

Concession-matrix-after-6



And the 20 players in the network diagram for concessions give a good idea of who England's first 22 are.

Network diagram )

Since Borthwick has made it clear that he's going to use the 3rd place match to give players who've not had much game time a go, I think all the diagrams are going to get even more confused.

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