redfiona99: (Default)
Apparently, getting your appendix removed acts like go-faster stripes - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/68649296

Before any of the speed freaks get any ideas, that's a joke.

A Ferrari 1-2 should always be celebrated, except there's that sinking feeling that it was only possible because Max Verstappen's car broke.

Also, having the race carry on while a driver was trapped in his car on the circuit - not good. F1, you are better than that.
redfiona99: (f1)
No changes to the bingo card.

On the other hand, more evidence that Ferrari are cursed. Last race, one car had weird brakes, this race, one driver had an emergency appendectomy. Honestly worried about what Australia will bring.

The most important thing is that Sainz jnr is healthy and well (and remarkably up and about).

The understudy wasn't bad :)

Not sure I quite understand the people saying they're Ferrari fans and wondering why Ferrari are going with Hamilton not Bearman. Mostly it makes me feel like this

via GIPHY


(GIF of Bane from the Dark Knight Rises saying "But you merely adopted the dark; I was born in it, moulded by it.")

When have Ferrari ever put a rookie in the car (permanently)?

It's not the Ferrari way. They loan them out for a couple of years to any team that they give engines to and then see how they do. You don't want a rookie learning not to do *that* in a Ferrari that's supposed to be fighting for the Constructors' Title (accent on that supposed to be with a vengeance).

And oddly, you'll notice Hamilton's contract finishes just in time for Bearman to have been seasoned at probably Haas.

In terms of racing, the Saudi Grand Prix was a dud, with most of the excitement coming in the KMag Zone, an area of a Viking rage, determination, chaos and 20 seconds worth of penalties.

That takes doing Kevin!
redfiona99: (Default)
Going back to the bingo cards seems a little churlish since Ferrari, solidly the second best team.

On the other hand, one car had brakes that both stopped and shunted the car to the right, and Ferrari are 25 seconds behind the fastest Red Bull (and 3 second behind the second Red Bull).

There was also the opportunity to reshuffle the bingo card and add a couple of fresh squares.

Behold the new card )

Taking a positive from Bahrain, at least the Red Bulls aren't 50 points ahead ... yet.

And despite their on-going attempts to cause me to shriek in public (because I watched the race in a Walkabout), at least the Ferraris didn't hit each other.

I fear this season is going to be a lot of finding of tiny victories while Red Bull take all the big ones.
redfiona99: (f1)
I’m updating my analysis of whether the fastest lap points make any difference (last year’s analysis is here - https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2023/03/15/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-and-sprint-points-make-any-difference-in-2022/). I expect that the one point on offer will continue to make no difference, especially now there’s so many sprint races and they have so many more points available.

2023 Fastest Laps )

8 different drivers and 5 different constructors won fastest lap points which is higher than the average (averages being 7 and 4 respectively).

Constructors' standings with and without fastest lap points )

Removing the fastest lap points makes no change in the Constructors Title

How about in the Drivers's championship?

Drivers' Championship standings with and without the fastest lap points )

Okay, so it swaps Leclerc and Alonso, but other than making me happy, it doesn’t change any of the important places.

That means if we put together 2023’s results with the calculated total points if there had been fastest laps from 2009-2018, and the actual results in 2019, 2020, (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2021/01/23/f1-fastest-lap-points-full-of-speed-and-fury-signifying-nothing/), 2021 (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2022/03/19/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-points-make-any-difference-in-2021/), and 2022(https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2023/03/15/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-and-sprint-points-make-any-difference-in-2022/), 0 constructors results out of 159 have been affected by fastest lap points.

In the drivers’ championship, the number of results affected is 13/349 (3.72% of all results), and none of those are in the top 3 of any given year.

Let’s look at the sprint races, which I expect to have a greater effect to the quite frankly ridiculous number of them and the points available for them.

The sprint race points were as follows: )

Team points from the sprint races: )

Drivers’ point from the sprint races: )

Do the sprint race points have an effect on either championship?

Read more... )

* = Ferrari move up if they have the same number of points due to the Singapore Grand Prix victory

So it does have an effect on one of the important positions.

After 2 years, sprint points have had an effect on 6/20 constructors positions.

Drivers' championship with and without the sprint and fastest lap points )

Hülkenberg stays ahead of Ricciardo on count back. Zhou stays behind them, also based on countback to best finish.

Giving points to almost half the field 5 times a year changes the position of 0 of the drivers. That suggests that there are gaps in performance between the drivers and that the sprint races don’t do anything to disturb that (just say no to sprint races in the present format). Over 2 years with sprint races, 6/44 results have been changed.

What have we learned?
• The 1 point for fastest lap is too small to affect anything. I think that’s also why the top teams have stopped going for them, which I think is reflected in more drivers and teams getting fastest laps in 2023.
• The sprint races really don’t do anything to disturb the existing order, and only strengthen the points totals of the good teams, creating further separation between them and the weaker team.
• Red Bull, stupid amounts in front of the other teams.
• Everyone else pretty much coming in two by two except Alpine.
• In the driver’s championships points totals it’s either large gaps or serious scrunching up of points.
• It would be more interesting if Red Bull weren’t so far ahead in everything.
redfiona99: (Default)
A number of factors have caused these to be delayed.

1 - Most of these Grand Prix were in awkward time zones for me to watch/listen to live, which always makes it more difficult to catch up with the races, because the replays are at even odder times. (More on this in the Las Vegas wrap up)

2 - A distinct feeling of "after the Lord Mayor's show" about the whole thing. It feels like Red Bull won the title so long ago that there's nothing to fight for, and three out of the five races were at street circuits so there wasn't going to be much racing either to keep people interested.

3 - Oh my prophetic soul, when I made the comment about the races being one Ferrari driver strong, one having a nightmare, I was complaining about an existing pattern, but it's carried on. Which makes for painful watching as a Ferrari fan.

United States Grand Prix:

The Circuit of the Americas is my favourite of the American races, not unsurprisingly since it's the only one on an actual race track #JustSayNoToStreetCircuits

It's also one of my favourite tracks, because of the elevation changes and the potential for racing (and the cowboy nonsense, this year's highlight being giant cow terrifying Tsunoda).

Of course, all the things I like about came back to bite Ferrari in the tush after a good performance by Leclerc.

Ferrari race summary: The circuit hated Leclerc.
Sainz jnr. got a podium


I understand the FIA's point that they don't have the time to test more than 2 cars after each race, and as long as it's random draw, I can live with it, but if both cars fail a test, it might be worth testing a few more to make sure it wasn't the track doing that.

(In re: randomness of the choice, does anyone know where I can find a list of which cars are checked after each race? That looks like something that can be graphed and analysed.)

Mexican Grand Prix:

The Mexican fans deserve a much better race. I say this despite them booing Leclerc.

Ferrari race summary: The circuit hated Leclerc, just not as much as Austin did, given he managed third place with a broken car. Somehow Ferrari got a 3rd and 4th place.

Brazilian Grand Prix:

I loathe the sprint races. I don't think the suggested changes for next year go far enough, nor do I think they will actually change anything.

Ferrari race summary: The circuit hated Leclerc, to the extent that I agree with Leclerc that there's a curse (https://www.reuters.com/sports/motor-sports/leclerc-crashes-out-before-start-brazil-2023-11-05/) I just want both cars to have functional hydraulic systems, is that so much to ask?!

Las Vegas Grand Prix:

Las Vegas was the Grand Prix that really suffered from the odd time zone effect, because it was too late for the Americas and too early for Europe. As one internet wag put it, "finally New Zealand and Hawaii have a Grand Prix in their time zone."

The problem is while Monaco can work around the Grand Prix, Vegas, even in the holiday off-season, can't. I don't think they can move the grand prix to another time of year and have it be any better suited because the whole point of Vegas is that it's a year round holiday destination, and most of it's attractions don't need good weather.

It does need to be a night race. I've walked around Las Vegas during the day and it's *not glamourous* in daylight. But because of that, it can't be in the early evening, or else it would mess with trade too much, which leads to the absolute curfew issue, which led to so many of this year's problems.

Not all of them mind you.

I am aware that accidents happen, and that manhole covers attacking F1 cars has been a thing before (https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.new-chassis-required-for-russell-after-fp1-drain-cover-incident.2y9GeluOw6zYqJlnchaff4.html), and that time, no leniency was given for spare parts, but that was because Baku is too early in the season, or was then, to already be in "replacement part counting" mode.

And, yes, once a precedent has been set, it's hard to unset it, and yes, due to the closeness of the race for second place in the constructor's title at least one team would complain.

None of that means I like it. Or accept it. Or feel anything but annoyance at it.

Given all the things that went wrong, the race itself went quite well.

Most of the changes that really need to be made are to the stuff around the event not the race itself, and it'll be interesting to see if those changes are made.

Ferrari race summary: In which Sainz jnr is punished for events entirely out of his control, but Leclerc got a podium.

Abu Dhabi Grand Prix:

Ferrari race summary: In which the track hated Sainz jnr but Leclerc got a podium

I swear I listened to this Grand Prix live. I just don't remember any of it beyond having to do speed maths about who was where in the constructor's title. That Leclerc could do that while driving an F1 car blows my mind.

It wasn't enough, but boy how he tried.

Three points in the race to second place in the constructor's championship, despite a car that fell to pieces if you looked at it funny.

I'm not satisfied with it, I am a Ferrari fan, only victory is good enough, but I feel that was probably the most that could be achieved with that car. Last year's car had go, but the strategy team had none. This year, the strategy team have reached the giddy heights of "probably not actively conspiring against the team", but the car had no go for the first 3/4s of the season.

The SF-23 Fretful Porpentine was exactly as fragile as I feared following it falling apart during Bahrain qualifying. As well as the engine and electronics failures I do have on my Ferrari Foul-Up bingo card, if I'd had brake failure, fuel line failure and hydraulics failure, I could have dabbed them once each.

I didn't have a box for "somehow, we reach our allocation of one set of parts by the second race" as a square on the bingo card, because I didn't think that was possible. I underestimated Ferrari's intrinsic catastrophe potential.

2023-Bingo-Card-filled-in

Red Bull's lead was >50 points by the second race, just so everyone can understand my pain.

Extra future boxes could include, "the drivers are conspiring to give Vasseur a heart attack", looking at you, Leclerc, at the Italian Grand Prix.

In terms of things Ferrari had no control over, if there'd been a box for "the safety car was at just the wrong time", that would have been dabbed three times

"The DRS button hates joy," could also have been dabbed three times (and possibly a fourth time in sympathy with Norris at the British Grand Prix.) I'm glad more people are coming to see it my way that DRS removes a lot of the thrill from the races.

Somehow, despite a very flat season, I'm still looking forward to next year's races, but I'm really looking forward to the next change in regulations, which I think will be the only way to topple Red Bull. That fear isn't going to stop me hoping Ferrari can do it next year.
redfiona99: (f1)
There were some advantages to Qatar being too rough on the tyres, it did limit the amount of pitstop nonsense. It'd be nice if we could do that somewhere that wasn't so hot people were all but passing out.

(I am also in the minority who are okay with the track limits penalties because there is a simple way to avoid them ... don't go off the track. Guys, if you're supposed to be the best drivers in the world, you should be able to manage that.)

I'm moving slightly away from my usual format to look at an interesting problem three of the leading teams share.

They have two drivers who both want to be number 1 and could both have a claim on it.

Red Bull avoid this by having a clear number 1, I believe probably a contractually enshrined number 1. Now, there's those who say that's unfair, but at least it prevents some squabbling and number 2 knew what he was signing on for, even if I can only imagine their pitbox is something like this:



The reason you don't want the squabbling is that it costs time, effort and design tokens to get new parts so often there's only enough for 1 person to try them.

What's interesting is how the other teams are handling it.

Ferrari, other than Qatar where they handled it by only having one car*, seem to be sticking to letting them fight it out, which, while giving the fans and Vasseur conniptions, probably will work for the time being because it's very rare where there's races where both of them are doing well. Circuits very much seem to be either Leclerc tracks or Sainz tracks, or one of them picks up a grid penalty which makes it the other's race.

Mercedes seem to be going with "if we think one car is on the better strategy we will give team orders to let them overtake"." The problem is that they seem to give Hamilton that strategy most times, and if Russell is supposed to be the post-Hamilton's retirement future, I don't think it'll do much for his confidence. (That and I suspect he is working on a lament formatted in PowerPoint)

McLaren are more even handed, but it does mean that there's frequent radio traffic from one driver or the other asking to be let past.

I don't think any of the three tactics will work in the long-term (although Mercedes's problem may fix itself with Hamilton's retirement) and I think there'll be tears before the checkered flag for at least one of the teams this season.

* no really, Ferrari, how do you justify having an unrepairable oil leak!!! You are one of the biggest teams, Williams and Aston Martin have both fully repaired cars in the same time.
redfiona99: (Default)
We were right, the Singapore Grand Prix was a one-off and Red Bull business as usual has resumed. On the other hand, if we ignore Max Verstappen, there was some fun. Some of it was racing fun, and some of it was chaos fun, and a lot of it was inter-team battles fun, which is always one for the impish.

I can understand some of the team decisions, although the Alpine one confuses me mightily (https://www.autosport.com/f1/news/gasly-doesnt-understand-alpine-order-to-swap-positions-in-japanese-gp/10524780/).

I think we also just have to accept that the second Red Bull seat is cursed. It's inexplicable. Perez is so much better than that, much the same way as Webber was better than that. I did get a small kick out of people going "I didn't know you could do that to avoid a penalty!" mostly because I think I remember Ferrari pulling a similar stunt some time in the mid-90s. Which is now making me feel old, that kiddie-winks nowadays don't know that the second rule of formula 1 is "time spent finding loopholes in the regulations is never wasted."
redfiona99: (Default)
Most of the exclamation marks have been removed, but a few of them are unavoidable.

I told myself not to get excited after the Italian Grand Prix, because everyone knows that Ferrari turn the engines up and damn the consequences at Monza. It was hard not to get excited though, because, those magnificent beautiful red cars racing each other, even while giving us fans and Frederic Vasseur kittens (I did love the subtle irony he used when saying, "some people have
a different concept of 'no risk'" (https://www.formula1.com/en/latest/article.vasseur-says-he-really-appreciated-sainz-and-leclercs-intra-team-tussle-in.r7NX3jKu0wuHaOelgsLZh.html).

But everyone was talking about Ferrari and how exciting they'd been and how nice it was to see racing, and racing within a team.

My team, held up as what F1 should be. So lovely!!!

After a couple of weeks to calm down (and it was needed) there was the Singapore Grand Prix. I wasn't expecting anything from it. Street circuit. Red Bull. Tyre degradation is important. These were not good signs.

Then Verstappen goes out in Q2. It's Singapore, so it's difficult to overtake, so maybe that takes him out of the equation.

Then the lovely, marvellous, fantastic Carlos Sainz jnr gets the Ferrari on pole, second race in a row and, it's Singapore, and it's difficult to overtake.

I steel myself, it will all go horribly wrong somehow.

And then ... it doesn't.

It very nearly does, but at least this time it wasn't Ferrari that caused the problems for Leclerc's pitstop.

But, and this is the thing that gave me the most joy was that Sainz jnr worked out a solution by himself. It shows clarity of thinking. Is he not the most marvellous and wonderful sneaky darling!!!!

I have accepted that the victory is a one-off, for the time being, but I'm seeing things that give me hope.
redfiona99: (Default)
I am aware that the Belgian Grand Prix was some time ago. I have been busy.

In keeping with the previous races, I didn't get to see or hear the race, this time because of a Saturday and Sunday museum double header, where I said hello to large dinosaurs (https://www.nhm.ac.uk/visit/exhibitions/titanosaur.html) and large steam engines (https://www.sciencemuseum.org.uk/home).

I don't think I missed much with the race, which, you know makes me sad because it's the Belgian Grand Prix.

I did manage to catch the sprint race though, and be thoroughly melodramatic at the inevitable Ferrari oops.

The interesting thing, because Ferrari screwing up again is not interesting, was L's reaction to the sprint race. L is not a die-hard, he is, at best, a long-suffering dragged-along-by-a-friend. He's precisely the sort of person the changes to F1 are supposed to be trying to attract, and he ... found it to be pointless. Completely bored. Worse than dislike in many ways.

Me not liking the sprints as a cranky old fan is sort of expected, but that's it's completely not registering with the target audience is a sign they need to go back to the drawing board.
redfiona99: (Default)
The good: Ignoring first place, there was racing all the way up and down the grid.

The bad: That Ferrari. Last year we had a car that went, and a strategy team that didn't. This year, the strategy team have reached the dizzying heights of not-actively-harming-the-team, but the car has no go. Given the other two Ferrari teams make up two of the bottom three I suspect it's the engine.

The embarrassing: Channel 4's coverage in general (seriously, it look me 5 minutes which included an ad break before I had to hit the mute button).

The coverage pretending that Norris getting ahead and staying ahead for a lap and a half was a sign of someone challenging Red Bull's domination, rather than it taking that long for Verstappen to figure out which was was forward following the jostling at the start, and then the Red Bull overtaking the McLaren in a lap.

The racing was closer while there was no DRS activated, and I think it highlights that the go-faster button's time is through. DRS was invented to create more overtaking opportunities, now all it does is mean that no one else has a chance of keep the stronger cars behind them, no matter how good the individual driver is.
redfiona99: (f1)
Given orange is not one of Austria's national colours, there was a remarkable amount of it about at the Red Bull Ring.

To an extent, as a Ferrari fan, I can't be too disappointed, there were two Ferrari podiums.

On the other hand, sprint races are still a waste of time, and there is no way of stopping Red Bull.

The thing that makes me happiest about the Grand Prix is that it looks like I might be able to upgrade the Ferrari strategy team's probationary cookie of competence to a full cookie.

The stacked pit stops didn't quite work as well as they could have done (it's Ferrari, it would be dull if everything went as well as it could), but they show thinking and decisiveness and other things previously missing.

The major talking point from the weekend (other than Hamilton and Verstappen's little spat about having a single dominant F1 team being boring) was track limits. I have some sympathy for both sides of the argument. Yes, having stewards pouring over footage of the track, flagging it but the message only coming through laps later is good for no one. I did like the suggestion that the message should be sent electronically and flag on the driver's steering wheel, but I'm not sure where on the display it can go and be noticed (have a really interesting article on F1 steering wheels - https://www.mercedesamgf1.com/news/how-does-an-f1-steering-wheel-work).

On the other hand, F1 drivers, if you're the best in the world, keep it on the race track! It can't be that difficult, both Leclerc and Verstappen managed it. Now that most race tracks don't have walls or gravel next to the track, but have run-off areas instead, people don't respect the edges of the track. The previous solution of "sausage" kerbs were too dangerous (Red Bull is supposed to give you wings, but the cars are not supposed to fly), so this is the solution we've got. If F1 is going to keep it though, it needs to be enforced at all the tracks and enforced in a more timely fashion.
redfiona99: (f1)
For the Spanish Grand Prix, a combination of the hairdressers (qualifying) and some friends visiting (via phone because one of the caught COVID) prevented me from watching the latest episode of "A Comedy of Ferrari Errors".

I was looking forward to the Canadian Grand Prix because, even if Ferrari screw up, the Canadian Grand Prix is my favourite race of the season.

Qualifying was not promising, because of course you don't want to have softs ready for the driver on the bubble. Why would you want to help both your drivers get into Q3. Obviously, the path forward is to make them overtake in cars that are still too wide, even in Montreal.

The grand prix itself was not its usual fun-filled self (although there was some fun, thanks to De Vries and KMag), but it featured the most unlikely thing - A FERRARI STRATEGY CALL GOING RIGHT!!!

A FERRARI STRATEGY CALL THAT WAS DIFFERENT TO EVERYONE ELSE'S AND IT STILL WENT RIGHT!!!!

Ahem!

I was in favour of giving the strategy a cookie of competence, but L, who is meaner than me, said it could have been a fluke, and even a stopped clock is right twice a day. Therefore, I am granting them a probationary cookie, as long as they promise not to share it with the tyre team.

Image of a cookie with red writing saying probationary over the top of it. )

This year is still a disaster, but maybe the second half can rescue it. (I am an incurable optimist)
redfiona99: (Default)
I didn't get to see any of the Monaco Grand Prix because a friend took me to see Guardians of the Galaxy 3. Given this is the third time I've missed a grand prix this season because friends or family organised something at the same time, I'm starting to think they're trying to protect me from Ferrari's continued uselessness.

I had 0 hopes for the Monaco Grand Prix because, as we all know, Leclerc is cursed at home.

Coming out of the film, I looked at the result and saw that Ferrari had matched my expectations and performed awfully. I should probably be happy, I am the only person whose expectations they are meeting ("Ferrari: Team 'far away from expectation', says principal Frederic Vasseur" - https://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/formula1/65761260). You ain't just whistlin' dixie my friend.

It does support my theory that Binotto was not the problem and regime change, with no disrespect to Vasseur, is not the answer.
redfiona99: (Default)
I don't have Sky Sports so I "watch" formula 1 on the radio. That means I do tend to snatch up any opportunity I can get to watch it on the screen.

My mother, on the other hand, hates formula 1, very much in the spirit of "blöd im Kreis herumzufahren". She swears that both things that happened were accidents but thank to mother-derived-events, I managed to listen to 15 minutes of Miami Grand Prix and qualifying tops.

As a Ferrari fan, you'd be justified in saying that I didn't miss much. As an F1 fan, in general, it sounds like I didn't miss much. I'm perfectly willing to believe Verstappen drove well, but wouldn't it be nice if he had someone challenging him.

(Rumour also states we need to beware, very ware, of whatever they are planning for the Las Vegas Grand Prix, apparently they have promised more ridiculousness than the Miami Grand Prix.)
redfiona99: (ferrari)
I didn't have "the BBC radio commentary team writes Fernando Alonso/Taylor Swift RPF live on air" on my bingo card.

On the other hand, it was probably the highlight of the race.

The Azerbaijan Grand Prix frequently has no racing (street circuit, cars too wide to allow passing, DRS zone chicken is the only sporting thing going on) but normally the Baku Chaos Bonanza makes up for that. This time there was no chaos, so the race was duller than dishwater.

When the highlights of the race are wondering why the Alpha Tauri was so fragile compared to every other car that hit the wall and how long Hulkenberg's tyres would last (answer = not long enough), you know it's not a good race.

I may, however, have had a moment of personal illumination. Something about the way one of the BBC articles was phrased made me realise that the new sprint format (which is rubbish) is designed to do away with practise to try to provide more excitement at the actual race because the strategy teams will have less data to predict performance with. Ross Brawn has had to come up with something to fill the time. I still think the sprints are rubbish, but at least I now appreciate the bounds he's working within.
redfiona99: (Default)
(This wasn't delayed by advanced frustration with the whole thing, but because organising fencing competitions knocks the stuffing out of you. Friends shouldn't let friends be dragged into competition organising. Mine just laugh at me.)

Where to start with the Australian Grand Prix?

I was thinking of this gif:



but even that doesn't cover it.

Once again, what could have been a half-decent race for Ferrari was ruined by factors out of their control. I say half decent, because half the team didn't make it past the first lap.

Obviously, that was just a racing incident ... those happen on first laps.

Much like the Alpine attack (on each other) - first lap after a restart, these things happen, no need to penalise anyone, especially not Pierre Gasly who is one offense away from a one race suspension.

The thing I don't get, really, really don't get, is how those are just first lap incidents but Sainz jnr and Alonso is somehow someone's fault despite being on a first lap after a restart.

It's almost like there's no consistency in how the race stewards are handling anything. Now I am used to this between races, because there's different stewards each race, but within the same race is pushing it.

I'd dab the "even the FIA can't save you now" square, but that's for when Ferrari actually do something wrong, and aren't on the wrong side of screwball stewarding decisions.
redfiona99: (f1)
At time of press, Fernando Alonso was still the holder of 3rd place at the Saudi Grand Prix but that might change again, because, quite frankly I put nothing past the stewards at this point.

What was a reasonably interesting race has been completely overshadowed by some very bizarre decision making on their part.

What was looking like a half decent weekend for Ferrari was ruined by one of the odder safety car decisions of recent memory. Admittedly, given Leclerc's luck is looking like Webber's luck of old, I have no doubt that something else would have happened if they hadn't decided to use a full safety car to retrieve a car that wasn't even stopped on track (Chapeau to Stroll for parking it that well in an emergency. Did we ever find out what caused the emergency "stop the car now Lance" message?).

Two failed ECUs and a half-decent Ferrari strategy shout getting ruined by non-Ferrari mistakes, all in two races, I'm not going to say Lady Luck is against us, but it's as good an explanation as any.

It's particularly annoying because there are the green shoots of possible Ferrari recovery.

Whisper it quietly, but, were it not for the safety car, that Ferrari strategy might have worked, and Ferrari had the fastest pit stop in Bahrain.

Everything except the results seems to be coming together.
redfiona99: (Default)
Last year, I looked at whether the fastest lap points and sprint race points had any effect on the 2021 Championships (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2022/03/19/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-points-make-any-difference-in-2021/). The answer was no, as it had been for the fastest lap points for the 10 years previous. I’m feeling decidedly justified in declaring them a gimmick.

I would expect them to have had very little effect in 2022 either, not least because of the size of Red Bull’s victory margin.

Table of fastest lap points winners from 2022 )

7 different drivers and 4 different constructors won fastest lap points which is in line with an average season.

The final standings for the Constructors' Championships, with and without the fastest lap points.

The final standings for the Constructors' Championships, with and without the fastest lap points. )

Removing the fastest lap points makes no change in the Constructors Title.

How about in the Drivers's championship?

The final standings for the Drivers's Championships, with and without the fastest lap points. )

Once again, the fastest lap points lead to no changes.

So that means if we put together the calculated total points if there had been fastest laps from 2009-2018, and the actual results in 2019, 2020, 2021, and 2022, 0 constructors results out of 149 have been affected by fastest lap points.

In the drivers’ championship, the number of results affected is 11/327 (3.36% of all results), and none of those are in the top 3 of any given year.

Let’s look at the sprint races, maybe they had an effect, especially with the extra points available in 2022, after the damp squib the sprint races had been in 2021.

The sprint race points were as follows:

Sprint race points )

Because there were points available for more sprint race places in 2022, I've also made tables for which constructors and drivers got points.

Constructors )

Drivers )

Do the sprint race points have an effect on either championship?

Constructors's Championship )
* and ¶ = teams whose positions swapped.

Drivers's Championship )

*, ¶ and § = drivers whose positions swapped.

Giving points to almost half the field 3 times a year changes the position of 6 of the drivers. Only 2 of those drivers are really at the pointy end of the championship.

So, what have we learned.

• The 1 point for fastest lap is too small to affect anything. I think that’s also why the top teams don’t really go for extra pitstops just to get it.
• The increase in points for the sprint races in 2022 meant they did affect things.
• But probably not enough to justify the extra time and effort
• Plus it’s not like they actually produce more racing, either during the sprint or the main race
• Help, I am agreeing with Christian Horner about something.
redfiona99: (Default)
Picture of a porcupine )

Why?

Because it too sheds spiky parts and is concerning.

Possibly I am over-reacting to one race but I had my concerns after testing.

Some of them were, I grant, less sensible than others.

I like the Ferrari to be the prettiest car on the grid, but I fear the Alfa Romeo may be the prettiest car this year (https://twitter.com/F1/status/1622886779136184321). This year's Ferrari looks like this - https://twitter.com/F1/status/1625456362997129216

(I am intrigued by the different shape of the rear wing for the Alfa Romeo and the Alpha Tauri versus the other cars on the grid - https://twitter.com/F1/status/1629425434109652992)

Some of them were more wide-ranging. I see that Ferrari have a new team principal, which is normally a sign that Ferrari have run out of ideas. I have nothing again Frederic Vasseur (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fr%C3%A9d%C3%A9ric_Vasseur), and I think he'll do a good job, but I don't think most of the problems last year were Mattia Binotto's fault. Maybe the changes Vasseur has already made will help, but time will tell.

I was expecting more of a gap between testing and the first race. I expect F1 to kick off around St. Patrick's day; I think I've forgotten that there are more races per season now. This means I didn't post any of that before the first race in Bahrain (it also means my 75% finished post on the Tour de France Femmes is going to be delayed further).

Qualifying in Bahrain starts, and Leclerc's car decides to shed aero parts causing a red flag. I rechristen the SF-23. Ferrari do something interesting with tyre strategy, and, I am happy to give them the benefit of the doubt here, because Leclerc made it sound like strategy, not an oversight, and we all know that he has no poker face.

Then there's the race. I can live with Alonso getting past Sainz because Alonso was just having one of those races, because he's Fernando Alonso having one of those races. I am less happy with Perez blasting past Leclerc because Ferrari will hopefully be fighting against Red Bull this season and the ease of the pass does not bode well.

Then ... then ...

I am choosing to blame Channel 4, who were literally in the middle of saying there had only been one retirement when Leclerc's Ferrari went pop.

Cue Leclerc making one of those anguished noises. Or, to quote Channel 4 after Leclerc's post-race interview, "I don't remember what happy Leclerc looks like."

Which is a pretty damning statement.

In response to that, because I can cope with people hating Ferrari or fearing Ferrari but not with them pitying Ferrari, I am bringing back the bingo card.

Large bingo card under the cut )

Guys, it's first race in and there's already been three boxes dabbed. This is not promising.

On the other hand, it could have been worse, either driver could have had Estaban Ocon's horror of a race.
redfiona99: (f1)
Sorry about the lack of Formula 1 posts. Partly it was the hellish cold I'm still getting over, partly it was real life getting really busy, but mostly it was that the end of the season was really uninspiring.

Despite George Russell winning his first race, which is something I have been looking forward to. (Don't look at me in that tone of voice, I've been fond of the Powerpoint Kid since he started at Williams).

It's just that the rest of it was so meh - no one was going to beat Verstappen if Max got into a lead and the nearest thing there was to intrigue was when people decided to be surprised that Verstappen, a man who would run over his own grandmother for a victory, didn't let a teammate through. Why people, including Perez, were surprised is beyond me.

Ferrari did not help matters (Ferrari never help matters).

Okay, I have unrealistic expectations, I'm a tifosi, I was born to have unrealistic expectations. And the season started so well. But ended without even a whimper.

It was the sheer dull thud of the end of the year that depressed me. It wasn't even an entertaining disasterpiece.

Ferrari's response to this is yet another bout of regime change, because if something hasn't worked the last three times, why not try it again. I think the problem goes deeper that just the figurehead. None of four people who have taken up the poison mantle since Jean Todt were bad at their jobs before or after (ignoring the recent Juventus weirdness with Arrivabene which I think is a Juventus thing not an Arrivabene thing). I think the way Stefano Domenicali looked 10 years younger with a year of leaving Ferrari is telling.

There's something deeper wrong at Ferrari and I can't see yet another team principle fixing it.

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