redfiona99 (
redfiona99) wrote2020-09-14 06:55 pm
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TDF 2020 Week 2 Data Doodles
I'd just like to once again state quite how sketchy and preliminary these are.


Lotto Soudal remain the team worst affected by withdrawals, although 3 teams are now short two riders. B&B, Decuninck- Quick Step, Ineos, Israel Start-Up Nation, Jumbo Visma, Movistar and Sunweb are the only teams that haven't lost anyone.
Stage 8 (CAZĂRES-SUR-GARONNE>LOUDENVIELLE, containing the first hors category climb of this years tour, or Nans Peters vs the mountain) remains the stage with the most withdrawals.


This year's number of withdrawals is about average (can I find the
letour tweet that said that? No, of course I can't!).
For the individual teams, you can see from the shape of the curve how suddenly the race *happened* to Ag2R-La Mondiale.


What I was interested in was if the kind of withdrawals changed over time.
They haven't really.


I am legitimately surprised that there has been only one withdrawal due to missing a time cut (and that was John Degenkolb after stage 1 happened to him almost more than it happened to anyone else except Philippe Gilbert and Rafael Valls.
Somehow they've been up many, many hills and the Grand Colombier and the only person cut was on stage 1. It's incredible.


Lotto Soudal remain the team worst affected by withdrawals, although 3 teams are now short two riders. B&B, Decuninck- Quick Step, Ineos, Israel Start-Up Nation, Jumbo Visma, Movistar and Sunweb are the only teams that haven't lost anyone.
Stage 8 (CAZĂRES-SUR-GARONNE>LOUDENVIELLE, containing the first hors category climb of this years tour, or Nans Peters vs the mountain) remains the stage with the most withdrawals.


This year's number of withdrawals is about average (can I find the
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For the individual teams, you can see from the shape of the curve how suddenly the race *happened* to Ag2R-La Mondiale.


What I was interested in was if the kind of withdrawals changed over time.
They haven't really.


I am legitimately surprised that there has been only one withdrawal due to missing a time cut (and that was John Degenkolb after stage 1 happened to him almost more than it happened to anyone else except Philippe Gilbert and Rafael Valls.
Somehow they've been up many, many hills and the Grand Colombier and the only person cut was on stage 1. It's incredible.
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(also presumably, they decided to crack down on doping and so made the climbs less totally insane & upped the technical elements to compensate?)
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Ah Peter Sagan, so good they changed the rules to stop him, twice. (I am very fond of the green menace, not just because his team has most of the Austrians.)
Certainly the climbs feel different. I don't know if it's because Jumbo Visma don't feel as robotic as the US Postal/Trek/Sky/Ineos robots of doom (and/or EPO). There's less of the "we will bleed so our enemies bleed harder". Possibly, again, because Roglic is using someone from a completely different team as one of his main domestiques (or Pogacar is using Jumbo Visma as his domestiques).
I will believe that they have cracked down on doping when I see it. But yes, I think stopping expecting super-super-human might be a good start.
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As for Sagan, I admit I've disliked him since the whole podium girl thing. Plus idk I think it's nice when stage wins matter for sprinters? Maybe the organizers want more breaks to go, though, or at least go longer... Plus cut down on the more reckless group sprints (I like Cav because he's not boring but... Definitely a guy who took a lot of risks, often on others'behalf)
But yeah, I'm sure some doping is still going on but I think it's not a bad idea to reset expectations a bit. Eta: and the technical difficulty aids in that - drugs don't make you a better bike handler. I just dunno if you can actually like, do that with a field so large...
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